Escalating trade tensions between the United States and China would have manifested with or without Donald Trump, experts said at the Singapore Summit on Saturday.
While the U.S. president’s “crazy” ways have worsened it, he’s only a symptom of world developments that have hastened the tensions, and not the cause, pointed out Dani Rodrik, a professor at Harvard University.
“I think we must not exaggerate the importance of Trump,” said Rodrik, who is a professor of international political economy at the John F Kennedy School of Government at Harvard.
“I think Trump is very much a symptom and not the cause … Whether Trump is president of the United States or not, in many ways we’ll be facing such tensions,” he said pointing to structural problems in the world economy and competition between rising economic and political powers. “These are broad-based reactions to the kind of economic policies that we’ve pursued in the last quarter century.”
“Unfortunately, Trump isn’t making it easy for us because of the crazy way in which he’s managing it,” added Rodrik.
He said the upside of it all was that Trump has “instincts” but unfortunately, no long-term strategy.
Some examples of his “basic instincts” were that “exports are good, imports are bad,” Rodrik said. “Whatever is good for me must be bad for you, and vice versa,” he added.
“On the other hand, he’s not the kind of person who follows through, he can be easily diverted,” he concluded.